
Performance Metrics
AIZEN AI Initial Model (2023–2024)
Strength: Good raw accuracy (~50% perfect / 69% directional).
Weakness: Catastrophic -50% drawdown in Q3 2024, proving the need for disciplined risk management.
Limitation: Token list included dead/delisted tokens, creating model drift risk.
AIZEN AI Model (July 2025 analysis):
Dataset: 23,110 predictions over 13 months.
Perfect accuracy: 49.79%.
Directional accuracy: 69%.
Average deviation: 9.34% (median: 7.07%).
Monthly consistency: 11/13 months above 43% accuracy.
Best month: 68.9% perfect accuracy (March 2024).
Worst month: 37.1% (May 2024).
85% of months had <8% median deviation.
Insights:Higher volatility correlated with stronger directional accuracy while extreme volatility reduced precision of magnitude forecasts.
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